 | MOUNT INFLECTION FREE |
Buy and sell instructions
Sell: SNOW · Buy: HOG.
Model signals for 2026-10-23.
Long positions · next-open actions
Pending Free model changes, with exits listed before entries on each date. An exit applies only to a position already held. Sizes use model equity, not a reader’s cash balance; these are research signals, not brokerage fills.
| Company / reason | Action / date | Reference price | Model weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| SNOWSnowflake Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exit held position2026-10-23Signal 2026-10-22 | $313.96Reference price | 4.69%Close held quantity |
| HOGHarley-Davidson Inc.Weekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | New entry2026-10-23Signal 2026-10-22 | $29.31Reference price | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
Model changes
7-day model change -0.99% | 1-day model change -1.44% |
Research cash 21.74% | Holdings 15 |
| Hypothetical allocation research model; not brokerage returns. 7-day window: 2026-10-15 → 2026-10-22 closes. 1-day: 2026-10-21 → 2026-10-22 closes (latest equity session). | |
Free holdings · largest first
Rank: #1 has the largest combined source allocation. Ranks continue beyond the top 15; Free selects only the first 15. Holdings below are sorted by size.
Not ranked means the stock has no eligible positive allocation in the current source list.
Saved close 2026-10-22. Holding weight is the position’s current value as a share of total strategy-model equity.
| Rank | Company | Price P/L / age | Holding weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | DINOHF Sinclair Corporation | +31.70%69 days | 6.43% |
| 13 | ILMNIllumina Inc. | +24.30%48 days | 6.04% |
| 7 | VLOValero Energy Corporation | +15.68%48 days | 5.62% |
| 4 | PSXPhillips 66 | +13.05%48 days | 5.49% |
| 11 | SUSuncor Energy Inc. | +9.48%13 days | 5.45% |
| 8 | APAAPA Corporation | +9.28%13 days | 5.44% |
| 10 | COPConocoPhillips | +8.80%13 days | 5.41% |
| 1 | CVXChevron Corporation | +10.68%20 days | 5.38% |
| 6 | MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation | +9.28%34 days | 5.36% |
| 2 | XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corporation | +6.17%13 days | 5.28% |
| 9 | AESThe AES Corporation | +0.27%13 days | 4.99% |
| 3 | LXPLXP Industrial Trust | +0.28%27 days | 4.81% |
| 15 | PBFPBF Energy Inc. | -2.57%20 days | 4.73% |
| 27 | SNOWSnowflake Inc. | -7.61%6 days | 4.69% |
| 12 | INTCIntel Corporation | -38.55%122 days | 3.14% |
Stocks 78.26% + cash 21.74% = 100.00%. Displayed percentages may differ slightly because of rounding.
Price P/L is since model entry, before costs and taxes; age is days held. Holding weights are measured exposures, not resize instructions. Keep quantities until an exit signal.
Rank is their place in Free’s current top-15 selection list. These names are shown in rank order.
| Rank | Company |
|---|---|
| 14 | HOGHarley-Davidson Inc. |
Free sector balance
At 2026-10-22 close, before any pending next-open changes. Percentages are shares of total Free research-model equity, including cash.
| Sector / cash | Holding weight | Holdings |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 54.60% | 10APA, COP, CVX, DINO, MPC, PBF, PSX, SU, VLO, XOM |
| Technology | 7.82% | 2INTC, SNOW |
| Health Care | 6.04% | 1ILMN |
| Utilities | 4.99% | 1AES |
| Real Estate | 4.81% | 1LXP |
| Cash | 21.74% | — |
| Total | 100.00% | 15 stocks |
Energy is the largest recorded group at 54.60% of model equity. Several stocks in one sector can share the same risks. This describes Free’s concentration; it does not rank market sectors or predict returns.
Weights describe the hypothetical allocation research model, not a subscriber account or a target to rebalance toward. Sector/company metadata: Nasdaq, snapshot 2026-10-17; utility industries grouped as Utilities. Unmapped names remain Unclassified. Rounding may affect displayed totals.
System Pulse
| Window | Closed / Win | Avg P/L / Hold | Open / P/L / Hold |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | 10 closedWin 50.00% | -1.93%40 days | 9 open · 3.86%15 days |
| 100 days | 56 closedWin 57.14% | 3.06%25 days | 14 open · 9.20%28 days |
| 200 days | 111 closedWin 47.75% | 5.50%28 days | 15 open · 6.02%34 days |
Hypothetical model actions and open episodes. The frozen research history runs through December 31, 2025 and the same model rules continue afterward. Brokerage-account seed orders are excluded.
Performance reference
Historical figures below describe the previous research allocation model, not a backtest of the entry/exit-only execution rule effective October 7, 2026.
MI Strategy Review
Free is a freshly rebuilt, deduplicated hypothetical share/cash model. Historical model results are not broker fills or customer returns. The first next-open fills and costs are included from the December 30, 2011 cash baseline.
Same-period hypothetical Free research. Returns are cumulative, not annualized; maximum drawdowns use identical daily market dates for the model and benchmarks.
| Period | Free | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 40.55%DD -15.29% | 17.72%DD -18.76% | 20.77%DD -22.77% |
| 3Y | 127.10%DD -15.29% | 85.50%DD -18.76% | 134.86%DD -22.77% |
| 5Y | 193.91%DD -15.29% | 95.39%DD -24.50% | 101.77%DD -35.12% |
| Period | Opening | Ending | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | 250 |
| 3Y | 2022-12-30 | 2025-12-31 | 752 |
| 5Y | 2020-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | 1255 |
| Period | Free | SPY | QQQ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012–2025 | 1308.47%DD -16.06% | 595.69%DD -33.72% | 1142.82%DD -35.12% |
Calendar-time CAGR 20.79% · maximum drawdown -16.06% · 655 active weekly reviews of 708 total.
Hypothetical model continuation since 2026-01-02: 26.08% return, -16.55% maximum drawdown across 203 completed session(s).
The hypothetical research simulation includes 5 bps slippage plus 1 bp commission per fill. Subscription fees, taxes, cash interest and additional market impact are excluded.
Model results are not customer or brokerage returns. Subscription fees and taxes are excluded. SPY and QQQ are unlevered adjusted-price buy-and-hold comparisons. Research selection, hindsight, current-survivor/founder-universe and no-untouched-holdout limitations apply.
This week from MI
One entry per published video; cross-posts are combined. Latest-feed check incomplete; only verified published videos are listed. New uploads may be missing; check the MI YouTube channel for the latest list.
Completed long trades · history only
Hypothetical model history: 2026-09-17 through 2026-10-22. Completed entries and exits share one dated table. Do not repeat these actions.
| Company / reason | Action / date | Reference price | Model weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| SNOWSnowflake Inc.Weekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-16Signal 2026-10-15 | $339.81Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| HOGHarley-Davidson Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-16Signal 2026-10-15 | $27.83Reference pricePrice P/L 12.85%; 77 days held | 5.25%Reference exposure at exit |
| XOMExxonMobil Holdings CorporationWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $167.87Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| SUSuncor Energy Inc.Weekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $70.71Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| COPConocoPhillipsWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $133.85Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| APAAPA CorporationWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $45.47Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| AESThe AES CorporationWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $14.93Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| MARMarriott InternationalWeekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $361.81Reference pricePrice P/L 8.16%; 21 days held | 5.34%Reference exposure at exit |
| GGBGerdau S.A.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held positionRelated MI: Momentum fade · 2026-10-08 | Exited2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $5.06Reference pricePrice P/L 2.07%; 70 days held | 4.84%Reference exposure at exit |
| FDXFedEx CorporationWeekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $292.00Reference pricePrice P/L -13.53%; 56 days held | 4.24%Reference exposure at exit |
| ATIATI Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $189.62Reference pricePrice P/L 1.58%; 14 days held | 4.89%Reference exposure at exit |
| AAPLApple Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-09Signal 2026-10-08 | $331.69Reference pricePrice P/L 4.69%; 42 days held | 5.13%Reference exposure at exit |
| PBFPBF Energy Inc.Weekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-02Signal 2026-10-01 | $81.34Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| CVXChevron CorporationWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-10-02Signal 2026-10-01 | $204.80Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| PTENPatterson-UTI Energy Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-02Signal 2026-10-01 | $11.04Reference pricePrice P/L -7.46%; 14 days held | 4.67%Reference exposure at exit |
| BWABorgWarner Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-10-02Signal 2026-10-01 | $61.00Reference pricePrice P/L -8.69%; 21 days held | 4.60%Reference exposure at exit |
| LXPLXP Industrial TrustWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-09-25Signal 2026-09-24 | $60.92Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| ATIATI Inc.Weekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-09-25Signal 2026-09-24 | $186.67Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| ZIONZions Bancorporation N.A.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-09-25Signal 2026-09-24 | $63.48Reference pricePrice P/L -7.67%; 56 days held | 4.55%Reference exposure at exit |
| VALEVALE S.A. American Depositary Shares Each Representing one common shareWeekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-09-25Signal 2026-09-24 | $13.56Reference pricePrice P/L -11.26%; 28 days held | 4.52%Reference exposure at exit |
| PTENPatterson-UTI Energy Inc.Weekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-09-18Signal 2026-09-17 | $11.93Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-09-18Signal 2026-09-17 | $420.27Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| MARMarriott InternationalWeekly selection entryAdded to Free’s weekly long list; open a long position | Entered2026-09-18Signal 2026-09-17 | $334.51Reference pricePrice P/L —; 0 days held | 5.00%Entry sizing reference |
| STXSeagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland)Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-09-18Signal 2026-09-17 | $814.69Reference pricePrice P/L -6.30%; 7 days held | 4.67%Reference exposure at exit |
| NOVNOV Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-09-18Signal 2026-09-17 | $20.41Reference pricePrice P/L 6.23%; 49 days held | 5.11%Reference exposure at exit |
| ATIATI Inc.Weekly selection exitRemoved from Free’s weekly long list; close the held position | Exited2026-09-18Signal 2026-09-17 | $184.71Reference pricePrice P/L -8.58%; 7 days held | 4.56%Reference exposure at exit |
Execution Rails
Thursday-close decisions for the next observed open. Enter on a new signal, hold the quantity, and close only on an exit signal. Changes in rank, prices, risk state or reference weights do not add to or trim an existing position. New entries use the signal sizing reference; brokerage quantities and fills are reported separately. Size is a share of model equity. This report does not place brokerage orders.
Allocation and new-entry size
Verified equity decision data: 2026-10-22. Staged long model 75% · core MI model 25%.
Strength expansion confirmed: at least 6 of 7 strength checks for 5 consecutive sessions. The staged long model currently has the larger share of the blend.
Free risk state: Normal · starting size 5.00% per new name. The S&P 500 reference is at or above its 200-session average.
The blend helps rank Free’s weekly long candidates. Free reviews selections at Thursday close; a blend change alone does not add, remove or resize a holding.
Last change · Long-model blend · decision 2026-10-07 · effective 2026-10-08: Staged long model 30% · core MI model 70% → Staged long model 75% · core MI model 25%.
Allocation context sizes new entries only. Keep existing quantities until an explicit exit; these changes are not rebalance instructions.
Weekly review details
Only the pending actions above are new instructions in this issue. Open holdings and completed history below are context. An exit applies only if that position is held; it does not mean open the opposite position.
Free signals: Weekly selection entry means a new addition to the weekly long list; Weekly selection exit means a removal. Related MI signals show their human names when a matching dated record exists. A weekly selection change does not require a new daily MI trigger.
Risk state Normal · 5.00% starting allocation per newly added name.
Model Notes
Free selects up to 15 long positions from the weekly ranking process. It keeps its own Thursday portfolio state. Own Thursday-close portfolio from positive combined MI-core and O1-X long intentions; not a separate single-vintage selector.
Research and hypothetical model results are educational. Market risk, execution differences and modeled costs affect outcomes; past results do not predict future performance.
Delivery Reference
Sizes use model equity, not your cash balance or total brokerage account. An exit means close the held quantity. Small signals remain visible in their own direction group. No add/trim instruction is created by a changing weight.